Agent-Based Model To Examine Housing Price, Household Location Choice, And Commuting Times

Title: An Agent-Based Model To Examine Housing Price, Household Location Choice, And Commuting Times In Knox County, Tennessee

The research conducted for this thesis uses an agent-based model (ABM) to simulate housing price, location, and journey to work (JTW) times for households in Knox County…

Author: Mulbrandon, Matthew

Source: University of Maryland

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Contents

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 MODELING IN TRANSPORTATION AND RESIDENTIAL LOCATION
2.2 PREVIOUS WORK USING AGENT-BASED URBAN/TRANSPORTATION MODELS
2.3 URBAN STRUCTURE AND PRICE GRADIENT
2.4 RESIDENTIAL SEGREGATION
2.5 PREFERENCE FOR THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT
2.6 COMMUTING (JOURNEY TO WORK)
CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY
3.1 CONCEPTUAL MODEL
3.2 IMPLEMENTATION MODEL
Subsection 3.2.1 Introduction of the Implementation Model
Subsection 3.2.2 Initial Conditions of the Model
Subsection 3.2.3 Location Choice Model
Subsection 3.2.4 Implementation Tools
CHAPTER 4: DATA
4.1 KNOX COUNTY
4.2 DYNASMART
4.3 CREATING INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS FROM PUMS AND CTPP DATA
CHAPTER 5: CALIBRATION RESULTS
5.1 POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD FIT OF SIMULATION RESULTS
5.2 INCOME FIT OF THE SIMULATION
5.3 PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT COMPARISONS
5.4 RACIAL SEGREGATION COMPARISONS
5.5 JOURNEY TO WORK COMPARISONS
5.6 HOUSING MODEL VARIABILITY DUE TO RANDOM VARIATION
CHAPTER 6: SCENARIO RUNS
6.1 SCENARIO RUNS FOR JTWVARIABLES
6.2 REMOVAL OF TRAVEL PREFERENCE
Subsection 6.2.1 Preference change affect on price per square foot
Subsection 6.2.2 Average Income Results for no travel preference Run
Subsection 6.2.3 JTW Times No Travel Preference
6.3 ONLY HOUSING AND SPACE PREFERENCE SCENARIO
Subsection 6.3.1 Price per Square Foot – Travel and Housing Space Preference
Subsection 6.3.2 Average Income – Only Travel and Space Preference
Subsection 6.3.3 JTW Time Results – Only JTW Time and Housing Space Preferences
6.4 INCREASED TRAFFIC 50 PERCENT AND DOUBLE TRAVEL TIME RUNS
Subsection 6.4.1 Price per Square foot 50% More Traffic and Double Travel Times
Subsection 6.4.2 Average Income and Population Change for Increased Travel Time Scenarios
Subsection 6.4.3 JTW Times for Increase Traffic Scenarios
6.5 INCREASED TRAVEL TIMES COMBINED WITH ONLY TRAVEL AND SPACE PREFERENCE
Subsection 6.5.1 Price per Square Foot Change
Subsection 6.5.2 Average Income Increased Traffic and Only Travel and Space Preference
Subsection 6.5.3 JTW times increased traffic scenarios with only travel and space preference
6.6 MEASURING THE EFFECT OF CHANGING TRAVEL PREFERENCE
CHAPTER 7: SUMMARY
Bibliography

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